On the Road Ball State Forecasted to Beat Favored N Illinois

Tue, Oct 1, 2019 | Consuelo Machina

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2019-10-05 -- Ball State has an predicted 76.9% chance for a road over N Illinois.

On the road, Ball State is forecast to score 32.6 points against N Illinois. Ball State is predicted from the model to throw for 403.1 yards on 47.8 attempts for 29.8 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 2.7 touchdowns and 1.0 interceptions. Ball State is predicted to run for 188.7 yards on 34.9 attempts with an estimated 1.2 touchdowns.

At home, N Illinois is forecast to score 18.5 points. Our model forecasts N Illinois will pass for 1.5 touchdowns and 2.5 interceptions against the Ball State defense on a projected 25.3 competitions with 41.9 attempts for 294.6 passing yards. Our model forecasts N Illinois will rush for 0.4 touchdowns against the Ball State defense on 26.8 attempts for a projected 74.4 yards.

For this game, Ball State is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 76.9% probability to beat the +4.0 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 65.5% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 55.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Tue, October 1, 2019 13:01:15 UTC