Odds-on Cardinals Hurler Miles Mikolas Predicted Loser Against Pirates

Fri, Sep 6, 2019 | Emma Botos


Miles Mikolas pitching for the St.Louis Cardinals in 2018.
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September 6, 2019 -- The Cardinals has an estimated 51.38% likelihood to lose to the Pirates based on our model.

Likely starting pitcher for the Cardinals, Miles Mikolas, will be paired with the hosting Pirates's pitcher Joe Musgrove. The Cardinals starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.683 outs, allow 2.495 earned runs, and a 0.011 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Joe Musgrove will have 2.172 earned runs, a predicted 22.182 outs, and 6.400 strike outs.

Sluggers Marcell Ozuna from the Cardinals and Bryan Reynolds from the Pirates will lead the their teams from the batter's box. Marcell Ozuna is forecast to bring in 0.614 RBIs and 0.518 runs scored, with an 0.315 OBP and 0.936 Ks. Bryan Reynolds is forecast to bat for 0.315 with 0.500 RBIs and 0.643 runs scored.

For this matchup Pirates are the best value on the money line bets with on the +103 home ML odds and a forecasted 51.38% chance to win. With a predicted 56.86% likelihood and -105 odds at 8.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Fri, September 6, 2019 13:05:02 UTC