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Sat, Nov 28, 2020 | Rob Otto
2020-11-29 -- On the road, the Browns has a 61.0% chance to lose to the Jaguars from our Snoozle montecarlo model.
Based on the montecarlo model, the Browns have an average of 15.3 points for the game. The Browns are predicted from the model to throw for 203.7 yards on 34.5 attempts for 19.6 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 0.9 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions. The Browns are predicted to run for 155.1 yards on 29.2 attempts with an estimated 0.7 touchdowns.
The Jaguars are estimated to score 20.2 points at home. The Snoozle football model estimates the Jaguars will throw 27.5 competitions on 42.7 attempts against the Browns with an estimated 1.8 interceptions for a total of 277.6 yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns. The Jaguars are forecast to rush for 129.4 yards on 25.4 attempts with an estimated 0.7 rushing touchdowns.
For this game Jaguars are the best value on the against the spread bets with a forecasted 77.0% chance to beat a +7.0 spread. The over/under line of 49.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 62.6% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Sat, November 28, 2020 13:03:48 UTC