Odds Favorite UAB Forecasted to Lose at Home to Rice

Sat, Dec 12, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-12-12 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, UAB is likely to fail on the road with a 77.0% chance of being correct against Rice.

The Snoozle model forecast UAB to score 19.6 points on the road. Our model forecasts UAB will pass for 1.2 touchdowns and 2.0 interceptions against the Rice defense on a forecasted 20.8 competitions with 32.2 attempts for 222.1 yards. UAB is predicted to run for 137.4 yards on 38.3 attempts with an estimated 0.7 touchdowns.

Rice is predicted to score 33.9 points on the home turf against UAB. Rice is expected to throw for 2.6 touchdowns with 45.2 pass attempts with 36.9 competitions for 391.1 yards, and an estimated 0.0 interceptions. The model estimates Rice will run on 45.1 attempts against UAB with an estimated total of 279.0 yards and 1.7 rushing touchdowns.

According to the odds and a forecasted 85.3% chance to beat the +7.0 point spread, Rice is the best value. With an over/under of 43.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 93.1% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, December 12, 2020 13:01:13 UTC