Odds Favorite Twins Forecasted to Lose at Home to Indians Despite Mitch Garver's Effort

Fri, Sep 13, 2019 | Emma Botos


Jake Odorizzi
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

September 13, 2019 -- The Twins has an estimated 54.66% likelihood to lose to the Indians based on our model.

On the mound for the Twins will be Jake Odorizzi matched up against Aaron Civale. The Twins starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.652 outs, allow 2.385 earned runs, and a 0.012 probability of a complete game. The Indians starting hurler is predicted to throw for 22.602 outs, allow 2.000 earned runs, and a 0.026 probability of a complete game.

Mitch Garver, Twins's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Carlos Santana in today's game. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Mitch Garver is predicted to bat for 0.228 with 0.696 RBIs and 0.713 runs scored. Carlos Santana 1B is forecast to bat for 0.266 with 0.620 RBIs and 0.600 runs scored.

The Indians are the best value for the money line based on the +110 odds and a predicted 54.66% win estimate. With a predicted 61.30% likelihood and -112 odds at 9.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Fri, September 13, 2019 13:05:06 UTC