Wed, Nov 11, 2020 | Rob Otto
2020-11-13 -- The Titans change of losing to the Colts is 87.2% based on our model.
At home, the Titans are forecast to score 11.1 points. The Titans are estimated from the model to throw for 189.2 yards on 29.3 attempts for 18.8 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.9 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions. The Titans are predicted from the model to run for 0.3 touchdowns against Colts with 18.9 rush attempts for 73.4 yards.
Based on the montecarlo model, the Colts have an average of 33.0 points for the game. Our model forecasts Colts will pass for 2.6 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions against the Titans defense on a forecasted 30.0 competitions with 44.1 attempts for 350.8 yards. The model predicts the Colts will rush on 37.9 attempts against the Titans with an estimated total of 203.4 yards and 1.3 running touchdowns.
The Colts are the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 89.5% likelihood estimate to cover a +1.5 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 63.9% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 49.0 runs is the best value.
Posted at Wed, November 11, 2020 13:05:53 UTC