Odds Favorite Steelers Predicted Loser at Home Against Colts

Sun, Dec 27, 2021 | Rob Otto


2020-12-27 -- The Steelers change of losing to the Colts is 53.2% based on our model.

The Steelers are estimated to score 15.5 points at home. The Steelers are estimated from the model to throw for 235.8 yards on 39.6 attempts for 24.7 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.1 touchdown and 0.2 interceptions. The Steelers are predicted from the model to run for 0.5 touchdowns against Colts with 22.4 rush attempts for 90.3 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Colts have an average of 17.7 points for the game. Our model forecasts Colts will pass for 1.1 touchdown and 0.3 interceptions against the Steelers defense on a forecasted 24.3 competitions with 38.5 attempts for 231.2 yards. The Colts are estimated from the model to rush for 0.6 touchdowns against Steelers with 30.2 rush attempts for 127.6 yards.

An estimated 59.1% likelihood to beat a +1.0 point spread, the best value is on the Colts in their matchup against the Steelers. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 43.0 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Sun, December 27, 2020 13:06:51 UTC