Odds Favorite Saints Predicted Loser at Home Against Buccaneers

Sun, Jan 17, 2021 | Rob Otto


2021-01-17 -- The Saints have a 81.0% likelihood to fall to the Buccaneers with a based on our model.

The Saints are estimated to score 10.1 points at home. The Saints are estimated from the model to throw for 203.1 yards on 34.1 attempts for 20.9 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.7 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions. The Saints are forecast to rush for 73.0 yards on 22.9 attempts with an estimated 0.3 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Buccaneers have an average of 23.2 points for the game. The Buccaneers are predicted from the model to throw for 317.9 yards on 48.6 attempts for 31.4 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.8 touchdowns and 1.7 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Buccaneers will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Saints defense on 26.3 attempts for a projected 113.5 yards.

An estimated 88.8% likelihood to beat a +3.0 point spread, the best value is on the Buccaneers in their matchup against the Saints. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 77.8% over estimate and -110 line odds for 52.0 runs.

Posted at Sun, January 17, 2021 13:00:37 UTC