Odds Favorite Red Sox Hurler Rick Porcello Predicted Loser at Home Against Angels

Sat, Aug 10, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Rick Porcello
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

August 10, 2019 -- The Red Sox have a 54.44% likelihood to fall to the Angels with a based on our model.

The hosting Red Sox have Rick Porcello in the rotation against the Angels's pitcher Andrew Heaney. Our model forecasts the Red Sox pitcher will have an outing for 6.373 innings, allowing 2.869 earned runs, with a 3.523 walks. The Snoozle model estimates the Angels pitcher will have an outing for 6.527 innings, allowing 2.677 earned runs, with 2.923 walks.

The Red Sox's Xander Bogaerts and the Angels's Mike Trout will duel it out from the batter's box. Based on the Snoozle model, Xander Bogaerts is predicted to have 0.709 RBIs and score 0.689 runs over an estimated 4.208 at-bats. Mike Trout CF is forecast to bring in 0.898 RBIs and 0.960 runs scored, with an 0.450 OBP and 0.918 Ks.

For this game Angels are the best value on the money line bets with on the +125 away odds and a predicted 54.44% likelihood to win. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 60.21% over estimate and -110 line odds for 11.5 runs.

Posted at Sat, August 10, 2019 13:04:21 UTC