Odds Favorite Red Sox Hurler Nathan Eovaldi Predicted Loser at Home Against Twins

Thu, Sep 5, 2019 | Emma Botos


Nathan Eovaldi
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

September 5, 2019 -- The Red Sox have a 57.08% likelihood to fall to the Twins with a based on our model.

Likely starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi for the Red Sox will be matched up with the Twins probable starter Martin Perez. Our model forecasts the Red Sox pitcher will have an outing for 5.998 innings, allowing 3.733 earned runs, with a 2.756 walks. The Twins's Martin Perez is predicted to throw for 6.051 innings, allowing 3.701 earned runs, with 6.274 Ks.

The Red Sox's J.D. Martinez and the Twins's Nelson Cruz will duel it out from the batter's box. J.D. Martinez is forecast to bat for 0.325 with 1.032 RBIs and 0.829 runs scored. The Twins's Nelson Cruz RF from the plate is forecast to score 1.074 runs, 1.206 RBIs and have a 0.436 OBP.

With +130 money line odds and a estimated 57.08% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Twins over the Red Sox. According to prediction model the 72.18% over estimate and -115 line odds for 11.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, September 5, 2019 13:03:51 UTC