Odds Favorite Ravens Predicted Loser at Home Against Steelers

Sat, Oct 31, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-11-01 -- The Ravens under perform at home with a 55.7% chance to lose against the Steelers based on our football model.

The Ravens have an average of 14.0 points in our model for the game. The Ravens are expected to throw for 0.8 touchdowns with 38.2 pass attempts with 21.4 competitions for 197.9 yards, and an estimated 1.9 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Ravens will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the Steelers defense on 27.4 attempts for a projected 115.7 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Steelers have an average of 17.1 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Steelers will throw 21.8 competitions on 41.3 attempts against the Ravens with a forecasted 1.8 interceptions for a total of 203.1 yards and 1.0 touchdowns. The Steelers are estimated from the model to rush for 0.8 touchdowns against Ravens with 25.5 rush attempts for 142.5 yards.

Based on a predicted 72.9% probability to cover a +4.0 spread, the Steelers are the best value for the ATS bets. With a predicted 69.7% likelihood and -110 odds at 46.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Sat, October 31, 2020 13:09:24 UTC