Odds Favorite Patriots Predicted Loser at Home Against Chiefs

Thu, Dec 5, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-12-08 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Patriots have a 67.5% take a home loss against the Chiefs.

The Patriots are estimated to score 12.8 points at home. The Snoozle football model estimates the Patriots will throw 21.5 competitions on 38.9 attempts against the Chiefs with an estimated 0.3 interceptions for a total of 223.7 yards and 0.9 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts the Patriots will rush for 0.3 touchdowns against the Chiefs defense on 20.5 attempts for a projected 79.0 yards.

The Chiefs are predicted to score 19.9 points against their opponent. Our model forecasts Chiefs will pass for 1.4 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions against the Patriots defense on a forecasted 26.1 competitions with 45.4 attempts for 260.2 yards. The model predicts the Chiefs will rush on 27.7 attempts against the Patriots with an estimated total of 144.2 yards and 0.7 running touchdowns.

An estimated 77.4% likelihood to beat a +3.0 point spread, the best value is on the Chiefs in their matchup against the Patriots. The over/under line of 48.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 70.2% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Thu, December 5, 2019 13:02:15 UTC