Odds Favorite Patriots Forecasted to Lose at Home to Texans

Sat, Nov 21, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-11-22 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Patriots have a 61.6% chance to lose to the home town Texans.

The Patriots are estimated to score 20.2 points on the road. The Patriots are forecast to pass for 1.3 touchdowns on 28.9 pass attempts with 18.5 competitions for 208.0 yards, and a predicted 0.2 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Patriots will rush for 1.1 touchdown against the Texans defense on 30.6 attempts for a projected 176.7 yards.

The Texans are estimated to score 27.6 points at home. The Texans are estimated from the model to throw for 351.4 yards on 39.4 attempts for 26.1 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 2.4 touchdowns and 1.4 interceptions. The model estimates the Texans will run on 29.1 attempts against the Patriots with an estimated total of 149.5 yards and 1.0 rushing touchdowns.

The Texans are the best value for the ATS based on a predicted 65.6% estimated to cover a +2.0 spread. With an over/under of 48.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 75.6% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, November 21, 2020 13:04:33 UTC