Odds Favorite Nationals Hurler Erick Fedde Predicted Loser at Home Against Reds

Mon, Aug 12, 2019 | Emma Botos


Anthony DeSclafani
Erik Drost on Flickr License

August 12, 2019 -- The Nationals change of losing to the Reds is 62.55% based on our model.

Likely starting pitcher Erick Fedde for the Nationals will be matched up with the Reds probable starter Anthony DeSclafani. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Erick Fedde will have 3.332 earned runs, a predicted 20.207 outs, and 7.207 strike outs. The Snoozle model estimates the Reds pitcher will have an outing for 6.479 innings, allowing 2.738 earned runs, with 3.031 walk.

In a hitting matchup, Anthony Rendon of the Nationals will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Aristides Aquino. Anthony Rendon is forecast to bat for 0.298 with 0.769 RBIs and 0.734 runs scored. According to our game model, Aristides Aquino is estimated to have 1.097 RBIs and score 0.909 runs over an estimated 4.479 at-bats.

For this game Reds are the best value on the money line bets with on the -105 away odds and a predicted 62.55% likelihood to win. According to prediction model the 58.16% over estimate and -120 line odds for 10.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Mon, August 12, 2019 13:03:47 UTC