Sat, Oct 3, 2020 | Consuelo Machina
2020-10-03 -- Miss St under perform at home with a 65.8% chance to lose against Arkansas based on our football model.
Miss St has an average of 31.5 points in our model for the game. Miss St is expected to throw for 2.6 touchdowns with 33.7 pass attempts with 29.5 competitions for 335.4 yards, and an estimated 1.5 interceptions. Miss St is predicted from the model to run for 1.3 touchdowns against Arkansas with 33.2 rush attempts for 192.4 yards.
Arkansas is predicted to score 43.2 points against their opponent. Arkansas is predicted from the model to throw for 498.8 yards on 39.0 attempts for 34.9 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 4.1 touchdown and 1.0 interceptions. Our model forecasts Arkansas will rush for 1.6 touchdowns against the Miss St defense on 38.6 attempts for a projected 199.6 yards.
Arkansas is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 86.5% likelihood estimate to cover a +17.0 point spread. With an over/under of 69.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 84.0% over likelihood and -110 odds.
Posted at Sat, October 3, 2020 13:00:58 UTC