Odds Favorite LSU Predicted Loser at Home Against Oklahoma

Mon, Dec 16, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-12-28 -- LSU under perform at home with a 79.0% chance to lose against Oklahoma based on our football model.

LSU is predicted to score 18.0 points on the home turf against Oklahoma. The Snoozle football model estimates LSU will throw 17.9 competitions on 30.1 attempts against Oklahoma with an estimated 1.0 interceptions for a total of 243.6 yards and 1.2 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts LSU will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Oklahoma defense on 35.7 attempts for a projected 133.4 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, Oklahoma has an average of 34.7 points for the game. Oklahoma is predicted from the model to throw for 340.8 yards on 37.8 attempts for 21.3 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 2.4 touchdowns and 0.1 interception. Oklahoma is predicted to run for 275.8 yards on 41.0 attempts with an estimated 1.8 touchdowns.

Oklahoma is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 92.5% likelihood estimate to cover a +13.5 point spread. The over/under line of 76.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 83.4% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Mon, December 16, 2019 13:01:27 UTC