Odds Favorite Kentucky Forecasted to Lose at Home to Missouri

Sat, Oct 24, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-24 -- On the road, Kentucky has a 55.9% chance to lose to Missouri from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

On the road, Kentucky is forecast to score 22.3 points against Missouri. Kentucky is predicted from the model to throw for 290.6 yards on 32.4 attempts for 25.2 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.7 touchdowns and 1.4 interceptions. The model predicts Kentucky will rush on 32.5 attempts against Missouri with an estimated total of 131.0 yards and 0.8 running touchdowns.

Missouri is predicted to score 25.1 points on the home turf against Kentucky. Missouri is estimated from the model to throw for 288.9 yards on 34.4 attempts for 27.3 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.9 touchdowns and 1.5 interceptions. Missouri is predicted from the model to run for 1.0 touchdowns against Kentucky with 34.1 rush attempts for 174.5 yards.

With an estimated 58.4% likelihood to pass a +3.5 spread, the best value is on Missouri over Kentucky against the spread. With an over/under of 47.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 76.6% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, October 24, 2020 13:01:18 UTC