Odds Favorite Jaguars Predicted Loser at Home Against Saints

Thu, Oct 10, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-10-13 -- The Jaguars have a 63.5% likelihood to fall to the Saints with a based on our model.

The Jaguars are estimated to score 15.8 points at home. The Jaguars are expected to throw for 1.2 touchdowns with 38.1 pass attempts with 21.8 competitions for 272.8 yards, and an estimated 2.1 interception. The model estimates the Jaguars will run on 20.6 attempts against the Saints with an estimated total of 75.0 yards and 0.5 rushing touchdowns.

The Saints are predicted to score 22.3 points against their opponent. The Saints are predicted from the model to throw for 253.8 yards on 42.9 attempts for 24.7 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.5 touchdowns and 1.7 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Saints will rush for 0.9 touchdowns against the Jaguars defense on 27.3 attempts for a projected 168.3 yards.

Based on a predicted 69.1% probability to cover a +1.0 spread, the Saints are the best value for the ATS bets. Based on the prediction model's over 58.0% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 44.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Thu, October 10, 2019 13:05:16 UTC