Odds Favorite Illinois Forecasted to Lose at Home to UConn

Wed, Sep 4, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-07 -- Illinois predicted with a 80.5% chance to chalk up a road loss against UConn based on the Snoozle Sports model

Based on the montecarlo model, Illinois has an average of 8.2 points for the game. Illinois is forecast to pass for 0.2 touchdowns on 29.3 pass attempts with 12.4 competitions for 113.7 yards, and a predicted 1.3 interceptions. Illinois is estimated from the model to rush for 0.3 touchdowns against UConn with 42.7 rush attempts for 169.3 yards.

In their hometown, UConn is forecast to score 19.9 points. UConn is expected to throw for 0.6 touchdowns with 24.9 pass attempts with 11.8 competitions for 149.7 yards, and an estimated 1.2 interceptions. UConn is forecast to rush for 261.0 yards on 56.3 attempts with an estimated 1.3 rushing touchdowns.

With an estimated 99.2% likelihood to pass a +20.5 spread, the best value is on UConn over Illinois against the spread. The over/under line of 61.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 97.4% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Wed, September 4, 2019 22:00:48 MST