Odds Favorite Boise State Forecasted to Lose at Home to Utah State

Tue, Nov 19, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-23 -- On the road, Boise State has a 71.4% chance to lose to Utah State from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

Based on the montecarlo model, Boise State has an average of 18.5 points for the game. Our model forecasts Boise State will pass for 1.3 touchdowns and 1.9 interceptions against the Utah State defense on a forecasted 19.8 competitions with 35.1 attempts for 241.6 yards. Boise State is predicted to run for 144.6 yards on 33.7 attempts with an estimated 0.7 touchdowns.

Utah State is predicted to score 29.8 points on the home turf against Boise State. Utah State is expected to throw for 2.3 touchdowns with 43.4 pass attempts with 28.0 competitions for 340.7 yards, and an estimated 0.7 interceptions. Utah State is predicted from the model to run for 1.1 touchdown against Boise State with 33.7 rush attempts for 170.9 yards.

Utah State is the best value for the ATS based on a predicted 81.4% estimated to cover a +7.5 spread. Based on the prediction model's over 60.6% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 53.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 19, 2019 13:00:43 UTC