Tue, Nov 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-11-29 -- Ball State under perform at home with a 58.0% chance to lose against Miami (OH) based on our football model.
In their hometown, Ball State is forecast to score 20.8 points. Ball State is expected to throw for 1.1 touchdown with 31.4 pass attempts with 17.3 competitions for 204.6 yards, and an estimated 0.8 interceptions. Ball State is forecast to rush for 234.3 yards on 42.6 attempts with an estimated 1.1 rushing touchdown.
Miami (OH) is predicted to score 24.3 points against their opponent. Our model forecasts Miami (OH) will pass for 1.6 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions against the Ball State defense on a forecasted 17.4 competitions with 32.1 attempts for 264.5 yards. The model predicts Miami (OH) will rush on 43.5 attempts against Ball State with an estimated total of 175.5 yards and 1.0 running touchdowns.
For this game, Miami (OH) is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 58.0% probability to beat the +3.0 point spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 55.4% over estimate and -110 line odds for 56.0 runs.
Posted at Tue, November 26, 2019 13:00:43 UTC