Northwestern Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat Illinois

Sat, Dec 12, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-12-12 -- Based on the Snoozle Sports football prediction model, Northwestern has a 79.0% winning against Illinois with an average score 36.2 to 17.7.

At home, Northwestern is forecast to score 36.2 points. Northwestern is estimated from the model to throw for 464.0 yards on 43.5 attempts for 35.4 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 3.2 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions. Our model forecasts Northwestern will rush for 1.4 touchdowns against the Illinois defense on 42.8 attempts for a projected 203.5 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, Illinois has an average of 17.7 points for the game. Illinois is predicted from the model to throw for 152.2 yards on 28.7 attempts for 13.2 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 0.7 touchdowns and 2.6 interceptions. Illinois is estimated from the model to rush for 1.0 touchdowns against Northwestern with 38.4 rush attempts for 203.2 yards.

For this game Northwestern are the best value on the against the spread bets with a forecasted 56.3% chance to beat a -14.0 spread. Based on the prediction model's over 96.2% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 40.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, December 12, 2020 13:01:13 UTC