Nolan Arenado's Stick is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Rockies Over the Mets

Wed, Sep 18, 2019 | Emma Botos


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Arturo Pardavila III from Hoboken, NJ, USA License

September 18, 2019 -- The Rockies have a 73.28% likelihood to fall to the Mets with a based on our model.

The hosting Rockies have Jeff Hoffman in the rotation against the Mets's pitcher Noah Syndergaard. Jeff Hoffman is estimated from the model to throw for 5.950 innings, allowing 3.777 earned runs, with 7.083 Ks. The Snoozle model estimates the Mets pitcher will have an outing for 6.706 innings, allowing 2.457 earned runs, with 2.374 walks.

Nolan Arenado, Rockies's top hitter, will slug it out against Jeff McNeil in today's game. Based on the Snoozle model, Nolan Arenado is predicted to have 0.727 RBIs and score 0.654 runs over an estimated 4.196 at-bats. According to our game model, Jeff McNeil is estimated to have 0.857 RBIs and score 1.036 runs over an estimated 4.701 at-bats.

With -152 money line odds and a estimated 73.28% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Mets over the Rockies. The over/under line of 12.5 runs with +110 over odds and a predicted 55.80% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Wed, September 18, 2019 06:53:59 MST