Nick Solak's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Visiting Rangers Over the Astros

Wed, Sep 18, 2019 | Emma Botos


Gerrit Cole of the pirates.
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September 18, 2019 -- The Rangers predicted with a 86.08% chance to chalk up a road loss against the Astros based on the Snoozle Sports model

Likely visiting starter Kolby Allard will will duel it out with the Astros probable starter Gerrit Cole. The Rangers's Kolby Allard is predicted to throw for 6.229 innings, allowing 3.197 earned runs, with 5.530 Ks. The Astros starting hurler is predicted to throw for 23.846 outs, allow 1.148 earned runs, and a 0.074 probability of a complete game.

Sluggers Nick Solak from the Rangers and Yordan Alvarez from the Astros will lead the their teams from the batter's box. Nick Solak is forecast to bring in 0.320 RBIs and 0.286 runs scored, with an 0.347 OBP and 0.930 Ks. Based on the Snoozle model, Yordan Alvarez is predicted to have 0.969 RBIs and score 0.813 runs over an estimated 4.051 at-bats.

Based on the -476 odds and an estimated 86.08% chance to win, the Astros are the best value for the money line. Based on the over(-119)/under(+102) odds, the 8.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Wed, September 18, 2019 06:53:59 MST