Tue, Oct 8, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-10-11 -- New Mexico has a 74.4% likelihood to fall to Colorado State with a based on our model.
At home, New Mexico is forecast to score 18.7 points. The Snoozle football model estimates New Mexico will throw 11.2 competitions on 30.0 attempts against Colorado State with an estimated 2.2 interceptions for a total of 181.7 yards and 0.9 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts New Mexico will rush for 1.1 touchdown against the Colorado State defense on 35.6 attempts for a projected 209.0 yards.
Colorado State is estimated to score 30.4 points on the road. Our model forecasts Colorado State will pass for 2.5 touchdowns and 2.1 interception against the New Mexico defense on a forecasted 26.8 competitions with 47.5 attempts for 391.3 yards. Colorado State is estimated from the model to rush for 1.1 touchdown against New Mexico with 38.8 rush attempts for 178.2 yards.
Based on a predicted 70.0% probability to cover a -4.0 spread, Colorado State is the best value for the ATS bets. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 71.3% over estimate and -110 line odds for 66.5 runs.
Posted at Tue, October 8, 2019 17:12:42 UTC