Nevada Predicted to Fall at Home to Underdog New Mexico

Tue, Oct 29, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-02 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, Nevada is predicted with a 62.5% to lose at home against New Mexico.

Nevada has an average of 18.5 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts Nevada will pass for 1.4 touchdowns and 1.1 interception against the New Mexico defense on a projected 24.6 competitions with 45.0 attempts for 305.5 passing yards. The model estimates Nevada will run on 32.5 attempts against New Mexico with an estimated total of 134.9 yards and 0.6 rushing touchdowns.

New Mexico is predicted to score 25.3 points against their opponent. New Mexico is predicted from the model to throw for 251.6 yards on 35.0 attempts for 14.9 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.4 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions. The model predicts New Mexico will rush on 40.4 attempts against Nevada with an estimated total of 222.2 yards and 1.4 running touchdowns.

For this game, New Mexico is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 62.5% probability to beat the +4.0 point spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 67.5% over estimate and -110 line odds for 59.0 runs.

Posted at Tue, October 29, 2019 13:00:42 UTC