Tue, Oct 15, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-10-19 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Nevada have a 96.4% chance to lose to the home town Utah State.
Based on the montecarlo model, Nevada has an average of 9.1 points for the game. Our model forecasts Nevada will pass for 0.6 touchdowns and 1.1 interception against the Utah State defense on a forecasted 19.9 competitions with 34.5 attempts for 180.9 yards. The model predicts Nevada will rush on 25.6 attempts against Utah State with an estimated total of 72.6 yards and 0.2 running touchdowns.
At home, Utah State is forecast to score 39.0 points. Our model forecasts Utah State will pass for 3.3 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions against the Nevada defense on a projected 33.1 competitions with 50.8 attempts for 479.2 passing yards. The model estimates Utah State will run on 40.1 attempts against Nevada with an estimated total of 181.5 yards and 1.2 rushing touchdowns.
Utah State is the best value for the ATS based on a predicted 69.3% estimated to cover a -20.5 spread. With a predicted 63.3% likelihood and -110 odds at 62.0 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Tue, October 15, 2019 17:03:34 UTC