Nevada's Defense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Home Underdog UNLV

Fri, Oct 30, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-30 -- On the road, Nevada has a 71.5% chance to lose to UNLV from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

The Snoozle model forecast Nevada to score 31.2 points on the road. The Snoozle football model predicts Nevada will throw 31.7 competitions on 36.5 attempts against UNLV with a forecasted 1.7 interceptions for a total of 387.4 yards and 2.7 touchdowns. Nevada is predicted to run for 174.7 yards on 36.2 attempts with an estimated 1.2 touchdowns.

UNLV has an average of 46.7 points in our model for the game. UNLV is estimated from the model to throw for 539.4 yards on 43.8 attempts for 37.6 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 4.3 touchdowns and 1.6 interceptions. UNLV is predicted from the model to run for 1.8 touchdowns against Nevada with 43.8 rush attempts for 219.9 yards.

UNLV is the best value for the ATS based on a predicted 85.5% estimated to cover a +14.0 spread. With an over/under of 60.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 96.1% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Fri, October 30, 2020 13:00:39 UTC