Nelson Cruz's Stick is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Twins Over the Nationals

Wed, Sep 11, 2019 | Emma Botos


Stephen Strasburg
Keith Allison on Flickr License

September 11, 2019 -- The Twins have a 73.31% likelihood to fall to the Nationals with a based on our model.

Probable starting pitchers Martin Perez and Stephen Strasburg duel it out for the Twins and Nationals, respectively. The Twins starting hurler is predicted to throw for 19.661 outs, allow 3.704 earned runs, and a 0.002 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle model estimates the Nationals pitcher will have an outing for 6.853 innings, allowing 2.169 earned runs, with 2.218 walks.

Hitters Nelson Cruz from the Twins and Anthony Rendon from the Nationals will lead the offense for their teams. Nelson Cruz RF is forecast to bat for 0.257 with 0.717 RBIs and 0.613 runs scored. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Anthony Rendon is predicted to bat for 0.350 with 0.991 RBIs and 0.979 runs scored.

The Nationals are the best value for the money line based on the -140 odds and a forecasted 73.31% win estimate. Based on the prediction model's over 52.96% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 10.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Wed, September 11, 2019 13:04:46 UTC