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Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-08-31 -- Nebraska likely winner at home over South Alabama with a 81.2% of being correct based on our model.
Nebraska has an average of 36.1 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates Nebraska will throw 28.8 competitions on 44.5 attempts against South Alabama with an estimated 0.2 interceptions for a total of 326.8 yards and 2.2 passing touchdowns. The model estimates Nebraska will run on 48.5 attempts against South Alabama with an estimated total of 315.2 yards and 2.1 rushing touchdowns.
Based on the montecarlo model, South Alabama has an average of 19.1 points for the game. South Alabama is forecast to pass for 1.0 touchdowns on 28.7 pass attempts with 16.3 competitions for 166.2 yards, and a predicted 0.4 interceptions. Our model forecasts South Alabama will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the Nebraska defense on 36.1 attempts for a projected 168.2 yards.
Based on a predicted 82.5% probability to cover a +35.5 spread, South Alabama is the best value for the ATS bets. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 64.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.
Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 13:06:10 MST