Tue, Oct 1, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-10-05 -- Navy has a 53.5% chance of winning at home against Air Force according to the Snoozle Sports football montecarlo model.
At home, Navy is forecast to score 14.5 points. The Snoozle football model estimates Navy will throw 6.5 competitions on 12.0 attempts against Air Force with an estimated 0.2 interceptions for a total of 93.9 yards and 0.4 passing touchdowns. Navy is predicted from the model to run for 1.0 touchdowns against Air Force with 60.0 rush attempts for 254.1 yards.
On the road, Air Force is forecast to score 13.5 points against Navy. Our model forecasts Air Force will pass for 0.4 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions against the Navy defense on a forecasted 5.6 competitions with 10.8 attempts for 107.7 yards. Air Force is estimated from the model to rush for 0.8 touchdowns against Navy with 64.7 rush attempts for 249.3 yards.
With an estimated 56.2% likelihood to pass a +2.5 spread, the best value is on Navy over Air Force against the spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 73.9% over estimate and -110 line odds for 44.5 runs.
Posted at Tue, October 1, 2019 13:01:15 UTC