Navy Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat SMU

Tue, Nov 19, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-23 -- Navy is predicted to win over the visiting SMU based a 71.2% win prediction from the football model.

Navy is predicted to score 28.5 points on the home turf against SMU. The Snoozle football model estimates Navy will throw 5.7 competitions on 12.0 attempts against SMU with an estimated 0.5 interceptions for a total of 112.4 yards and 0.7 passing touchdowns. The model estimates Navy will run on 67.9 attempts against SMU with an estimated total of 407.1 yards and 2.4 rushing touchdowns.

On the road, SMU is forecast to score 18.7 points against Navy. The Snoozle football model predicts SMU will throw 20.0 competitions on 34.8 attempts against Navy with a forecasted 0.5 interceptions for a total of 286.3 yards and 1.5 touchdowns. Our model forecasts SMU will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the Navy defense on 31.9 attempts for a projected 107.6 yards.

With an estimated 61.9% likelihood to pass a -4.0 spread, the best value is on Navy over SMU against the spread. With a predicted 82.1% likelihood and -110 odds at 68.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 19, 2019 13:00:43 UTC