Navy has a Predicted Win Over the Odds Favorite Notre Dame

Tue, Nov 12, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-16 -- According to our model, Navy predicted to over perform on the road against Notre Dame with a 75.1% chance to win.

The Snoozle model forecast Navy to score 27.5 points on the road. Our model forecasts Navy will pass for 0.6 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions against the Notre Dame defense on a forecasted 5.2 competitions with 11.8 attempts for 101.8 yards. Our model forecasts Navy will rush for 2.4 touchdowns against the Notre Dame defense on 70.4 attempts for a projected 411.3 yards.

In their hometown, Notre Dame is forecast to score 16.0 points. Notre Dame is expected to throw for 0.9 touchdowns with 32.6 pass attempts with 16.5 competitions for 218.0 yards, and an estimated 0.6 interceptions. The model estimates Notre Dame will run on 36.1 attempts against Navy with an estimated total of 156.4 yards and 0.7 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 87.8% probability to cover a +9.5 spread, Navy is the best value for the ATS bets. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 53.5 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.

Posted at Tue, November 12, 2019 13:00:40 UTC