Nationals Led By Pitcher Max Scherzer at Home Expected to Beat the Braves

Fri, Sep 13, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Max Scherzer
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

September 13, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle Sports MLB prediction model, the Nationals have a 60.49% winning against the Braves in a projected matchup between pitchers Max Scherzer and Michael Soroka.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Nationals's Max Scherzer and the Braves's Michael Soroka. The Nationals starting hurler is predicted to throw for 22.952 outs, allow 1.720 earned runs, and a 0.035 probability of a complete game. Michael Soroka is estimated to have 2.526 earned runs, 21.570 outs, and 6.431 strike outs.

The Nationals's Anthony Rendon and the Braves's Freddie Freeman will duel it out from the batter's box. Anthony Rendon is forecast to bat for 0.291 with 0.683 RBIs and 0.686 runs scored. The Braves's Freddie Freeman 1B from the plate is forecast to score 0.514 runs, 0.510 RBIs and have a 0.334 OBP.

Based on the odds and win probabilities, there is no good value on the money line for the Braves +140 at Nationals -164 game. Based on the over(+112)/under(-130) odds, the 8.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Fri, September 13, 2019 13:05:06 UTC