Nationals Led By Pitcher Anibal Sanchez at Home Expected to Beat the Phillies

Wed, Sep 25, 2019 | Emma Botos


Drew Smyly
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

September 25, 2019 -- In a matchup between hitters Juan Soto and Rhys Hoskins, our model estimates the Nationals have an estimated 77.54% likelihood of defeating the Phillies.

Likely starting pitcher Anibal Sanchez for the Nationals will be matched up with the Phillies probable starter Drew Smyly. Our model forecasts the Nationals pitcher will have an outing for 6.687 innings, allowing 2.451 earned runs, with a 2.838 walks. Drew Smyly is estimated to have 4.409 earned runs, 18.590 outs, and 6.030 strike outs.

Anthony Rendon, Nationals's top hitter, will slug it out against Bryce Harper in today's game. The Nationals's Anthony Rendon is estimated to score 1.180 runs, 1.178 RBIs and have a 0.480 OBP. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Bryce Harper RF is predicted to bat for 0.240 with 0.542 RBIs and 0.648 runs scored.

With -171 money line odds and a forecasted 77.54% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Nationals over the Phillies. According to prediction model the 64.21% over estimate and -114 line odds for 10.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Wed, September 25, 2019 13:05:25 UTC