Nationals Hurler Max Scherzer Forecasted Loser at Home Against Astros

Sun, Oct 27, 2019 | Emma Botos


Gerrit Cole of the pirates.
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October 27, 2019 -- The Nationals under perform at home with a 60.94% chance to lose against the Astros based on our model.

On the mound for the Nationals will be Max Scherzer paired against Gerrit Cole. Our model forecasts the Nationals pitcher will have an outing for 6.856 innings, allowing 1.752 earned runs, with a 2.478 walks. The Astros starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 23.221 outs, allow 1.607 earned runs, and a 0.045 probability of a complete game.

The Nationals's Anthony Rendon and the Astros's George Springer will duel it out from the batter's box. The Nationals's Anthony Rendon is estimated to score 0.479 runs, 0.429 RBIs and have a 0.323 OBP. George Springer is forecast to bring in 0.482 RBIs and 0.666 runs scored, with an 0.326 OBP and 0.983 Ks.

The Astros are the best value for the money line based on the -151 odds and a forecasted 60.94% win estimate. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 70.39% over estimate and -111 line odds for 7.0 runs.

Posted at Sun, October 27, 2019 13:00:40 UTC