Nationals's Starting Hurler Stephen Strasburg with a Forecasted Win Over the Mets

Fri, Aug 9, 2019 | Emma Botos


Stephen Strasburg
Keith Allison on Flickr License

August 9, 2019 -- The visiting Nationals has an estimated 65.02% chance to overcome the Mets based on our model.

The Nationals have Stephen Strasburg as the probable starting pitcher against Marcus Stroman. The Nationals's Stephen Strasburg is predicted to throw for 7.062 innings, allowing 1.754 earned runs, with 5.547 Ks. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Marcus Stroman will have 2.493 earned runs, a predicted 21.518 outs, and 5.778 strike outs.

Sluggers Anthony Rendon from the Nationals and Jeff McNeil from the Mets will lead the their teams from the batter's box. Anthony Rendon is forecast to bring in 0.692 RBIs and 0.698 runs scored, with an 0.380 OBP and 0.666 Ks. Based on the Snoozle model, Jeff McNeil is predicted to have 0.376 RBIs and score 0.561 run over an estimated 4.274 at-bats.

According to the -120 ML away odds and an predicted 65.02% chance to win, the Nationals are the best value for the money line. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 58.08% over estimate and -115 line odds for 8.0 runs.

Posted at Fri, August 9, 2019 13:06:57 UTC