Nationals's Starting Hurler Max Scherzer with a Predicted Home Win Over the Mets

Tue, Sep 3, 2019 | Emma Botos


Jacob deGrom of the New York Mets, July 31, 2016.
D. Benjamin Miller License

September 3, 2019 -- The Nationals have a 50.61% chance of winning at home against the Mets according to the Snoozle Sports MLB model.

The hosting Nationals have Max Scherzer in the rotation against the Mets's pitcher Jacob deGrom. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Max Scherzer will have 1.819 earned runs, a predicted 22.659 outs, and 5.781 strike outs. The Mets's Jacob deGrom is predicted to throw for 6.930 innings, allowing 1.957 earned runs, with 6.626 Ks.

In a hitting matchup, Anthony Rendon of the Nationals will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Jeff McNeil. According to our game model, Anthony Rendon is estimated to bring in 0.624 RBIs and 0.584 runs scored, with an 0.363 OBP and 0.624 Ks. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Jeff McNeil is predicted to bat for 0.265 with 0.362 RBIs and 0.542 runs scored.

The Mets are the best value for the money line based on the +120 odds and a forecasted 49.39% win estimate. With a predicted 57.82% likelihood and -115 odds at 7.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, September 3, 2019 13:03:16 UTC