Wed, Sep 4, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-09-07 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Murray State is likely to fail on the road with a 98.6% chance of being correct against Georgia.
Based on the montecarlo model, Murray State has an average of 10.9 points for the game. Our model forecasts Murray State will pass for 0.5 touchdowns and 2.1 interception against the Georgia defense on a forecasted 18.8 competitions with 26.2 attempts for 123.5 yards. The model predicts Murray State will rush on 25.9 attempts against Georgia with an estimated total of 157.0 yards and 0.6 running touchdowns.
Georgia is predicted to score 46.9 points on the home turf against Murray State. Georgia is expected to throw for 2.3 touchdowns with 46.0 pass attempts with 30.3 competitions for 283.4 yards, and an estimated 1.9 interceptions. The model estimates Georgia will run on 53.9 attempts against Murray State with an estimated total of 450.9 yards and 3.6 rushing touchdowns.
An estimated 76.3% likelihood to beat a +48.5 point spread, the best value is on Murray State in their matchup against Georgia. Based on the prediction model's over 66.6% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 61.5 runs is the best value.
Posted at Wed, September 4, 2019 22:00:48 MST