Sat, Sep 14, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-09-14 -- On the road, Montana has a 52.6% chance to lose to Oregon from our Snoozle montecarlo model.
On the road, Montana is forecast to score 21.7 points against Oregon. Our model forecasts Montana will pass for 1.5 touchdowns and 1.4 interceptions against the Oregon defense on a forecasted 28.5 competitions with 39.6 attempts for 297.1 yards. Montana is predicted to run for 176.7 yards on 39.5 attempts with an estimated 0.9 touchdowns.
Oregon is estimated to score 23.6 points at home. The Snoozle football model estimates Oregon will throw 21.6 competitions on 40.4 attempts against Montana with an estimated 2.3 interceptions for a total of 257.6 yards and 1.4 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts Oregon will rush for 0.9 touchdowns against the Montana defense on 30.9 attempts for a projected 164.3 yards.
Based on a predicted 95.1% probability to cover a +29.5 spread, Montana is the best value for the ATS bets. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 72.9% over estimate and -110 line odds for 63.5 runs.
Posted at Sat, September 14, 2019 14:50:12 MST