Missouri with a Forecasted Win Over Kentucky

Tue, Oct 22, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-26 -- Missouri has an predicted 91.0% chance for a road over Kentucky.

Based on the montecarlo model, Missouri has an average of 29.2 points for the game. Missouri is forecast to pass for 1.8 touchdowns on 38.6 pass attempts with 23.1 competitions for 290.3 yards, and a predicted 0.8 interceptions. Missouri is predicted to run for 262.7 yards on 46.5 attempts with an estimated 1.5 touchdowns.

Kentucky has an average of 8.7 points in our model for the game. Kentucky is expected to throw for 0.3 touchdowns with 23.8 pass attempts with 10.1 competitions for 96.6 yards, and an estimated 0.4 interceptions. The model estimates Kentucky will run on 31.1 attempts against Missouri with an estimated total of 125.5 yards and 0.4 rushing touchdowns.

For this game, Missouri is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 91.0% probability to beat the -10.5 point spread. According to prediction model the 55.1% over estimate and -110 line odds for 46.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, October 22, 2019 13:01:05 UTC