Missouri Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat Tennessee

Tue, Nov 19, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-23 -- Missouri likely winner at home over Tennessee with a 51.1% of being correct based on our model.

In their hometown, Missouri is forecast to score 18.5 points. Missouri is estimated from the model to throw for 235.4 yards on 36.7 attempts for 20.6 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.2 touchdowns and 0.7 interceptions. The model estimates Missouri will run on 37.7 attempts against Tennessee with an estimated total of 164.2 yards and 0.7 rushing touchdowns.

Tennessee is predicted to score 17.8 points against their opponent. Tennessee is forecast to pass for 1.1 touchdown on 32.5 pass attempts with 16.3 competitions for 221.9 yards, and a predicted 1.0 interceptions. Tennessee is estimated from the model to rush for 0.5 touchdowns against Missouri with 36.8 rush attempts for 119.7 yards.

Based on a predicted 61.0% probability to cover a +5.0 spread, Tennessee is the best value for the ATS bets. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 45.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Tue, November 19, 2019 13:00:43 UTC