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Thu, Aug 29, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-08-29 -- Minnesota change of losing to South Dakota St is 87.4% based on our model.
At home, Minnesota is forecast to score 15.7 points. Our model forecasts Minnesota will pass for 0.7 touchdowns and 1.3 interceptions against the South Dakota St defense on a projected 10.7 competitions with 25.0 attempts for 141.0 passing yards. Our model forecasts Minnesota will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the South Dakota St defense on 30.6 attempts for a projected 144.6 yards.
Based on the montecarlo model, South Dakota St has an average of 36.2 points for the game. Our model forecasts South Dakota St will pass for 2.7 touchdowns and 0.7 interceptions against the Minnesota defense on a forecasted 37.2 competitions with 43.0 attempts for 398.8 yards. The model predicts South Dakota St will rush on 42.9 attempts against Minnesota with an estimated total of 269.0 yards and 1.8 running touchdowns.
An estimated 96.7% likelihood to beat a +12.5 point spread, the best value is on South Dakota St in their matchup against Minnesota. Based on the prediction model's over 64.6% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 56.5 runs is the best value.
Posted at Thu, August 29, 2019 07:25:51 MST