Minnesota's Defense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Home Underdog Purdue

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-28 -- Minnesota has an estimated 63.8% likelihood to lose to Purdue based on our model.

On the road, Minnesota is forecast to score 20.1 points against Purdue. Minnesota is predicted from the model to throw for 225.1 yards on 28.8 attempts for 17.8 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.3 touchdowns and 2.3 interceptions. Minnesota is predicted to run for 177.2 yards on 48.2 attempts with an estimated 0.7 touchdowns.

Purdue is predicted to score 27.8 points on the home turf against Minnesota. The Snoozle football model estimates Purdue will throw 30.0 competitions on 47.7 attempts against Minnesota with an estimated 0.5 interceptions for a total of 453.0 yards and 2.8 passing touchdowns. The model estimates Purdue will run on 25.4 attempts against Minnesota with an estimated total of 55.9 yards and 0.4 rushing touchdowns.

Purdue is the best value for the ATS based on a predicted 63.8% estimated to cover a +1.5 spread. With an over/under of 56.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 53.2% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC