Mike Moustakas's Stick is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Brewers Over the Underdog Padres

Tue, Sep 17, 2019 | Emma Botos


Brandon Woodruff checks a runner, March 25, 2019
D. Benjamin Miller License

September 17, 2019 -- The Brewers change of losing to the Padres is 55.09% based on our model.

Probable starting pitchers Brandon Woodruff and Chris Paddack duel it out for the Brewers and Padres, respectively. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Brandon Woodruff will have 1.961 earned runs, a predicted 22.402 outs, and 7.254 strike outs. The Snoozle model estimates the Padres pitcher will have an outing for 7.174 innings, allowing 1.618 earned runs, with 2.325 walks.

Hitters Mike Moustakas from the Brewers and Eric Hosmer from the Padres will lead the offense for their teams. Mike Moustakas 3B is forecast to bat for 0.208 with 0.513 RBIs and 0.438 runs scored. The Padres's Eric Hosmer 1B from the plate is forecast to score 0.407 runs, 0.512 RBIs and have a 0.296 OBP.

With +107 money line odds and a estimated 55.09% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Padres over the Brewers. With a predicted 80.37% likelihood and -120 odds at 9.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, September 17, 2019 13:05:02 UTC