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Mike Moustakas's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Visiting Brewers Over the Reds
Tue, Sep 24, 2019 | Emma Botos
Adrian Houser of the Milwaukee Brewers warms up before a 2019 game at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia.
Ian D'Andrea on Flickr License
September 24, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle MLB model, the Brewers are likely to fail on the road with a 59.36% chance of being correct against the Reds.
Likely visiting starter Adrian Houser will will duel it out with the Reds probable starter Sonny Gray. Adrian Houser is estimated to have 2.528 earned runs, 21.496 outs, and 7.166 strike outs. Our model forecasts the Reds pitcher will have an outing for 6.920 innings, allowing 1.973 earned runs, with a 2.875 walks.
Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters Mike Moustakas and Aristides Aquino from Brewers and Reds, respectively. According to our game model, Mike Moustakas 3B is estimated to have 0.567 RBIs and score 0.530 runs over an estimated 4.177 at-bats. Based on the Snoozle model, Aristides Aquino is predicted to have 0.946 RBIs and score 0.700 runs over an estimated 4.287 at-bats.
Based on the -131 odds and an estimated 59.36% chance to win, the Reds are the best value for the money line.
Posted at Tue, September 24, 2019 13:06:26 UTC