Tue, Oct 1, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-10-05 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Michigan State is likely to fail on the road with a 52.9% chance of being correct against OSU.
Based on the montecarlo model, Michigan State has an average of 16.0 points for the game. Michigan State is predicted from the model to throw for 243.8 yards on 39.0 attempts for 22.2 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.0 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions. Our model forecasts Michigan State will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the OSU defense on 34.5 attempts for a projected 113.0 yards.
OSU is predicted to score 16.4 points on the home turf against Michigan State. OSU is expected to throw for 0.7 touchdowns with 29.6 pass attempts with 19.1 competitions for 180.4 yards, and an estimated 0.6 interceptions. OSU is predicted from the model to run for 0.9 touchdowns against Michigan State with 46.6 rush attempts for 202.7 yards.
An estimated 92.6% likelihood to beat a +20.0 point spread, the best value is on Michigan State in their matchup against OSU. The over/under line of 49.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 74.5% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Tue, October 1, 2019 13:01:15 UTC