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Michigan Expected Loser at Home Against Notre Dame

Tue, Oct 22, 2019 | Consuelo Machina

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2019-10-26 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, Michigan has a 57.0% take a home loss against Notre Dame.

At home, Michigan is forecast to score 17.6 points. Michigan is estimated from the model to throw for 225.9 yards on 36.5 attempts for 18.6 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.1 touchdown and 0.8 interceptions. Michigan is predicted from the model to run for 0.6 touchdowns against Notre Dame with 36.5 rush attempts for 155.3 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, Notre Dame has an average of 20.5 points for the game. Our model forecasts Notre Dame will pass for 1.2 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions against the Michigan defense on a forecasted 19.5 competitions with 32.9 attempts for 245.5 yards. The model predicts Notre Dame will rush on 42.1 attempts against Michigan with an estimated total of 204.4 yards and 1.0 running touchdowns.

An estimated 60.0% likelihood to beat a +2.5 point spread, the best value is on Notre Dame in their matchup against Michigan. The over/under line of 50.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 59.8% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Tue, October 22, 2019 13:01:05 UTC