Mets Predicted to Fall at Home to Underdog Diamondbacks Despite Jeff McNeil's Effort

Thu, Sep 12, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Marcus Stroman on September 30, 2015
Keith Allison License

September 12, 2019 -- The Mets change of losing to the Diamondbacks is 55.67% based on our model.

On the mound for the Mets will be Marcus Stroman paired against Alex Young. The Mets starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.691 outs, allow 2.488 earned runs, and a 0.012 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle model estimates the Diamondbacks pitcher will have an outing for 6.736 innings, allowing 2.275 earned runs, with 2.618 walks.

Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Jeff McNeil and Ketel Marte from Mets and Diamondbacks, respectively. Jeff McNeil is forecast to bat for 0.292 with 0.493 RBIs and 0.528 runs scored. Ketel Marte is forecast to bring in 0.693 RBIs and 0.699 runs scored, with an 0.366 OBP and 0.668 Ks.

According to the +125 ML away odds and an predicted 55.67% chance to win, the Diamondbacks are the best value for the money line. With an over/under of 8.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 50.22% over likelihood and +106 odds.

Posted at Thu, September 12, 2019 13:05:20 UTC