Sat, Aug 31, 2019 | Emma Botos
Steven Matz on July 7, 2018
D. Benjamin Miller License
August 31, 2019 -- The Mets with a 50.75% forecasted chance to beat the Phillies on the road based on the Snoozle model.
The Mets have Steven Matz as the probable starting pitcher against Jason Vargas. The Mets starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.348 outs, allow 2.663 earned runs, and a 0.009 probability of a complete game. Our model forecasts the Phillies pitcher will have an outing for 6.616 innings, allowing 2.464 earned runs, with a 2.328 walks.
Sluggers Jeff McNeil from the Mets and Corey Dickerson from the Phillies will lead the their teams from the batter's box. The Mets's Jeff McNeil from the plate is forecast to score 0.732 runs, 0.445 RBIs and have a 0.376 OBP. Based on the Snoozle model, Corey Dickerson is predicted to have 0.649 RBIs and score 0.687 runs over an estimated 4.900 at-bats.
For this matchup Phillies are the best value on the money line bets with on the +105 home ML odds and a forecasted 49.25% chance to win.
Posted at Sat, August 31, 2019 13:06:32 UTC